In brief
Xi's ties with Putin signal a blend of camaraderie and caution as China navigates global diplomacy.
In a grand display of unity, Chinese President Xi Jinping marched alongside Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin during Moscow's Victory Day parade, symbolizing a strong partnership. Xi described the relationship as “unbreakable,” highlighting the importance of both nations standing together—he’s visited Russia 11 times since taking office in 2013. However, their friendship reveals underlying tensions.Experts point out that this relationship is not simply about camaraderie—there's a competitive edge. Mathieu Boulegue, from the Center for European Policy Analysis, stated, “They can be friends on one end or cooperating on one end and then ripping each other apart on others.” Xi is carefully navigating a political minefield; Russia’s actions, especially its invasion of Ukraine, make it a contentious ally. Beijing is aware of the need to maintain diverse diplomatic relationships, especially with Europe, as it faces economic challenges from the U.S. Nevertheless, Xi aims to showcase China as a reliable global partner, contrasting with an unpredictable U.S. administration.The recent celebratory exchanges with European leaders may signal a thaw in icy relations, but Xi's close ties with an isolated Russia could complicate these efforts. Throughout this delicate diplomacy, he has expressed the need for mutual support against external pressures, particularly from Washington. However, the reality is that Russia's power has diminished significantly due to the Ukraine conflict and Western sanctions, rendering it more dependent on China than vice versa. Boulegue underscores this shifting dynamic: “Russia needs China much more than the opposite is true.” While Xi and Putin may present a united front, the future may hold challenges that test their bond.
